In a current publish I argued that California’s speculative ticketing invoice, AB 1349, represents an necessary step towards restoring fundamental honesty to the ticket resale market. The invoice targets a apply referred to as speculative ticketing—itemizing tickets on the market earlier than the vendor really possesses them. Generally lengthy earlier than. Generally by no means.
Like so many issues involving property, timing is every part. AB 1349 would require {that a} vendor personal, possess, or have the contractual proper to the ticket earlier than itemizing it, and it will require resale platforms to implement that rule earlier than accepting the itemizing. That’s fairly clear reduce, simple to grasp, and what you’d anticipate.
The precept behind the invoice is easy: you shouldn’t be capable of promote a ticket you don’t personal. In all probability one thing—hopefully—any person taught you rising up. It simply has that Outdated Testomony ring to it.
The Nationwide Unbiased Venue Affiliation (NIVA) says customers are continuously deceived or confused by speculative ticket sellers and important non-refundable prices (journey, inns, and many others.) for customers related to speculative tickets that will by no means be delivered.
“It’s misleading, it’s abusive, it’s gouging prospects,” stated Audrey Schaefer, VP of Board of Administrators for the Nationwide Unbiased Venue Affiliation. “It’s ripping off the corporate that’s placing the present on and ripping off the artist.”
Spec tickets are unhealthy information, but the apply cuts instantly in opposition to the working mannequin of a lot of the secondary ticket market with at the very least one notable exception.
Since writing that earlier publish, one other piece of the authorized puzzle has grow to be clearer. The Federal Commerce Fee’s current rulemaking on unfair or misleading charges incorporates a straightforward to identify idea that goes on to the guts of speculative ticketing.
Consider it because the “second of availability,” the second when a shopper first encounters the supply within the market..
The FTC’s Key Query: When Did the Ticket Truly Exist?
In discussing misleading practices, the FTC explains {that a} vendor might mislead customers if it advertises tickets as out there when the vendor doesn’t really possess them on the time the supply is made. That would come with itemizing the ticket on the market on a reseller platform.
The timing issues.
If an inventory seems in a resale market providing tickets to a sold-out live performance, customers fairly assume these tickets exist. If the vendor doesn’t even have them at that second she provides them on the market, the illustration itself could also be deceptive. That is, after all, the kindest model of the spec tickets story as a result of fairly often spec tickets go on sale after an artist has introduced a tour however earlier than the tickets are on sale in any respect (and so can’t be offered out). The FTC instantly handle the sold-out-when-it’s-not use case within the rule: “A Enterprise that represents that tickets are in reality out there when they aren’t might violate §§ 464.2(c) and 464.3 by failing to reveal Clearly and Conspicuously, and by misrepresenting, the identification of the nice or service for which charges or costs are imposed.” FTC textual content accompanying notice 353, citing to our remark within the continuing.
That FTC framework shifts the dialog away from refund ensures and towards a a lot less complicated query: what was true in the intervening time the ticket was provided on the market. And that’s the one factor that the large ticket resellers simply don’t point out. Contemplate how this second of availability dynamic seems on a serious resale platform similar to SeatGeek, Vivid Tickets and StubHub.
The SeatGeek Instance
Right here’s the SeatGeek therapy on speculative tickets:

Sounds good, proper? Particularly in case you don’t look too arduous, you’re not a giant reader of FTC notices, and since you need these tickets.
SeatGeek’s “speculative ticketing” definition seems to be strict however leaves important room for speculative listings. It permits spec ticket gross sales the place the vendor doesn’t possess the ticket if the vendor claims a “proper to obtain” one later. That phrase is obscure and will cowl many preparations apart from proudly owning a selected ticket on the FTC’s second of availability. An actual prohibition would require current possession of the precise ticket being offered.
Even SeatGeek’s phrasing is odd— “materially according to the outline” is ambiguous. It permits substitutions that won’t match the ticket the customer anticipated—totally different restrictions, entry, or situations—as long as SeatGeek decides the alternative is shut sufficient. Plus, SeatGeek’s enforcement is discretionary. SeatGeek solely “reserves the fitting” to request proof and says violations “might” result in elimination or suspension. Which means listings aren’t verified earlier than posting and enforcement happens provided that the platform suspects an issue or the fan actually makes lots of noise.
However the concentrate on a “Purchaser Assure” suggests the system is designed to handle failed deliveries slightly than forestall speculative listings within the first place. It additionally very probably implies that all you’re going to get is what’s within the assure which isn’t the ticket you thought to procure.
Briefly, the language lets the platform declare it bans speculative ticketing whereas leaving sufficient flexibility to tolerate speculative promoting in apply.
When a Assure just isn’t Assure
Right here’s what you actually purchased—a promise (of types) for the reseller to ultimately make you kind of complete, in need of really getting you the tickets.
The concept behind SeatGeek’s Purchaser Assure seems to be to reassure followers that they’ll buy SeatGeek tickets “with confidence.” The assure guarantees that tickets will arrive in time for the occasion, present legitimate entry, and match the itemizing description. Properly, I ought to hope so. However in case you didn’t learn the tremendous print, you won’t have realized you’d even want a assure since you don’t personal the tickets that you simply paid for and thought you bought. Which is why the FTC has jurisdiction.
If one thing goes improper, SeatGeek says it is going to resolve the difficulty “on a case-by-case foundation” by providing comparable tickets, a refund, or a credit score.
At first look that sounds consumer-friendly. So be sincere, although, is that why you purchase a ticket? To get one thing you didn’t purchase?
And see what the assure does not do. It doesn’t require proof {that a} vendor really possesses the ticket earlier than itemizing it. It doesn’t require proof that the vendor has a gift proper to switch the ticket being marketed. And it doesn’t forestall listings from showing within the market earlier than these information are verified.
As an alternative, the assure prompts after the transaction fails.
That distinction is important. A refund coverage manages the implications of a damaged transaction. It doesn’t set up that the ticket really existed when it was offered.
Shoppers purchase tickets to attend occasions—to not enter a refund course of saga if the ticket seems to not exist.
Below the FTC’s framework, the related query is due to this fact not whether or not the platform ultimately compensates the customer for the ticket. The FTC’s query just isn’t about ensures, refunds, or credit. It’s merely whether or not the ticket really existed in the intervening time the patron encountered the supply.
What Vivid Seats’ Phrases Reveal About Speculative Ticketing
Let’s take into account the self-serving guidelines at Vivid Seats, one other main ticket reseller. A detailed studying of the phrases of service utilized by Vivid Seats exhibits that speculative ticketing just isn’t merely handled as a rogue apply by unhealthy actors on the platform. In at the very least some necessary circumstances, it seems to be anticipated and structured inside Vivid’s market guidelines. The truth is it’s so anticipated, that Vivid obtained a service mark (SM) of their branded SeatSaver speculative ticketing program.
It’s a must to love the title—it’s not speculative tickets, it’s a SeatSaver, it’s a complete new factor. It’s a must to admire the branding—it’s not speculative ticketing, it’s SeatSaver. A brand new title for a similar previous apply. Below that SeatSaver program, sure “pre-approved sellers” are permitted to record tickets that they don’t presently possess. The vendor is successfully committing to acquire the ticket later after a purchaser locations an order. Sort of like J. Wellington Wimpy meets Wall Avenue Bets.
That’s, in substance, a type of speculative forward-selling. The “accepted” vendor is providing stock that doesn’t but exist within the vendor’s possession on the time of the itemizing and Vivid is standing behind it with their 100% Purchaser Assure to guard each their consumer and their accomplice vendor. Are each vendor and Vivid violating the FTC rule?
Vivid makes an attempt to handle the chance of indignant followers by way of its Purchaser Assure. If the unique ticket can’t be delivered, {the marketplace} might present alternative tickets that it considers “comparable or upgraded.” However that additionally means the customer might not finally obtain the precise ticket that was initially listed, similar to with SeatGeek. And that authentic ticket was, in spite of everything, what the fan purchased.
Supply timing reinforces the identical level. Vivid’s phrases enable tickets to be delivered very near the occasion begin time, which is according to a system the place sellers should be sourcing stock to cowl their bets after an inventory has already been posted and a purchase order made by a fan.
Taken collectively, these provisions counsel that speculative ticketing just isn’t merely one thing the platform tries to stop, if it tries in any respect. As an alternative, the phrases describe a framework wherein some particular sellers (who go anonymous) are permitted to record tickets first and purchase them later. Removed from stopping the apply, they really appear to overtly encourage it. And the fan has no approach of realizing if these confederates of Vivid are literally Vivid associates or what.
That construction issues as a result of speculative listings can create a shadow provide of tickets that influences costs and availability far earlier than the precise stock that exists out there. These listings continuously seem at costs above face worth and with none efficient cap, which may push the perceived market worth upward earlier than respectable tickets even enter the resale market. Regardless of the identification of the vendor, the financial construction primarily advantages the events capturing the resale margin and {the marketplace} accumulating commissions on these larger costs. So we might not know the names, however we all know who they’re not: the artists and promoters whose tickets are being resold.
At a minimal, the Vivid TOS language demonstrates that the platform understands precisely what speculative ticketing is and the way it operates. When a market’s personal guidelines describe circumstances the place sellers might record tickets they don’t but possess, it turns into troublesome to characterize speculative listings as merely the results of rogue actors violating the platform’s insurance policies.
StubHub additionally fails the FTC Rule
StubHub’s coverage is stronger than a obscure buyer-guarantee clause as a result of on the floor it expressly defines and forbids speculative tickets. But the rule nonetheless doesn’t require current possession in each case. A vendor might record tickets that aren’t but “in hand” if the tickets have been “allotted” to the vendor, and StubHub’s personal coverage contemplates sellers who frequently record tickets that aren’t of their possession. The actual line, then, just isn’t merely possession, however whether or not StubHub is glad that the vendor owns or has been allotted the stock. That leaves the platform, not the customer, deciding how a lot uncertainty is suitable earlier than an inventory goes reside.
Speculative tickets – You will need to solely record tickets that you have already got in your possession (‘In Hand’) or which have been allotted to you. Speculative tickets or ‘spec tickets’ are tickets which are listed on the market or offered earlier than the vendor really owns the tickets or earlier than the tickets have been allotted to the vendor. Itemizing or promoting speculative tickets on our Web site just isn’t allowed and will lead to account suspension, charges, costs or different penalties. Sellers who frequently record tickets that aren’t of their possession and who’re recognized to have listed speculative tickets previously, could also be required to offer an earlier In Hand Date than is often required.
StubHub’s coverage expressly prohibits “speculative tickets,” which it defines as tickets listed or offered earlier than the vendor really owns them or earlier than the tickets have been allotted to the vendor. That could be a stronger formulation than the softer language some platforms use. However perceive— the rule nonetheless doesn’t require literal current possession in each case. A vendor might record tickets which are both already “In Hand” or merely “allotted” to the vendor, and StubHub’s coverage expressly contemplates sellers who frequently record tickets that aren’t but in possession. So the sensible distinction just isn’t merely whether or not the vendor bodily has the ticket on the time of itemizing, however whether or not the platform is keen to deal with the vendor’s claimed stock standing as enough. That also leaves substantial room for resale exercise based mostly on stock that the customer can not independently confirm.
StubHub’s coverage nonetheless just isn’t consistent with the FTC’s rule. StubHub could also be expressly defining and prohibiting speculative tickets which is sweet for the sworn testimony of their lobbyists. However the important thing sentence is that spec tickets are these listed or offered earlier than the vendor really owns the tickets or earlier than the tickets have been allotted to the vendor.
That phrase “in your possession (‘In Hand’) or which have been allotted to you” issues. StubHub just isn’t requiring literal current possession in each case. It’s permitting listings both when the vendor already has the tickets in hand or when the tickets have been allotted to the vendor, no matter “allotted” means. So the operative idea just isn’t purely possession; it’s possession or allocation. That also leaves a grey space, as a result of “allotted” is broader than “in hand” and will cowl tickets not but delivered however assigned inside some stock system. We don’t actually know what “allotted” means.
The final sentence is revealing. It says sellers who frequently record tickets that aren’t of their possession and who’re recognized to have listed speculative tickets previously could also be required to offer an earlier In Hand Date than is often required. That means StubHub nonetheless contemplates a category of listings the place tickets are not but in possession, as long as they aren’t deemed speculative underneath StubHub’s definition. In different phrases, the rule doesn’t get rid of the “Not In Hand” idea; it tries to police the boundary between permissible not-in-possession listings and impermissible speculative ones.
A Ticket “Not In Hand”
So what does “not in hand” or “NiH” really imply? The secondary ticketing trade has even developed its personal terminology for promoting tickets that the vendor doesn’t but possess. On StubHub, these are known as “Not In Hand” listings. The truth that they invented a shorthand time period and acronym to explain the apply is revealing.
The phrase sounds technical, however the idea is straightforward: the vendor lists a ticket that the vendor says it owns regardless that the ticket has not but been delivered to the vendor. The vendor guarantees to acquire and ship the ticket later, often nearer to the occasion date.
The system could also be backed by the platform’s purchaser assure. If the vendor finally fails to ship the ticket, {the marketplace} might present a alternative ticket or different treatment.
If this sounds slightly odd, it might be as a result of it turns a well-recognized proverb on its head.
We have now all heard that “a chook within the hand is price two within the bush.” In different phrases, one thing you really possess is price greater than one thing that will or might not exist later. The scalper market model is likely to be rewritten this fashion:
A ticket not in hand remains to be price a fee.
In different phrases, within the reseller world, tickets will be offered regardless that the vendor doesn’t but possess the ticket being offered. The platform merely manages the chance by way of ensures and alternative insurance policies if a fan will get their nostril out of joint as soon as they get up to being ripped off.
From a shopper perspective, the assure might soften the impression if a ticket by no means materializes. However from a market perspective, the existence of “Not In Hand” listings means tickets will be provided on the market earlier than the vendor really has them — a construction that may form costs and availability lengthy earlier than the true stock even seems.
Aristotle taught that potential and actuality are totally different states of being. A ticket in hand is precise. A “Not In Hand” ticket is merely potential—although within the resale market a possible ticket can nonetheless generate an precise fee.
And relating to threat administration, if they’ll’t hold you out of courtroom some other approach, all three main secondary ticket marketplaces depend on shopper arbitration clauses to channel disputes into personal proceedings and keep away from class litigation.
Which means many systemic points in ticket resale—pricing practices, speculative listings, supply failures—might by no means get reviewed by a choose, as a result of they put on you down in arbitration slightly than in courtroom as we discovered from Kaiser v. Stubhub.
The Treatment Drawback
Even the cures themselves are elastic though the phrases are marketed as defending customers, at the very least in accordance with the reseller lobbyists. The SeatGeek assure guarantees “comparable tickets, a refund, or a credit score.” Every possibility leaves substantial discretion within the palms of the platform.
“Comparable tickets” might imply one thing very totally different to a fan who intentionally chosen—and paid for—a specific part or sightline. A refund restores the acquisition worth however not the misplaced alternative to attend the occasion, the journey plans, or the time invested in securing the ticket as Audrey stated. A credit score successfully requires the patron to stay inside the identical market that did not ship the promised product within the first place.
In different phrases, the assure doesn’t promise the customer will obtain the ticket they bought. It guarantees that the platform will decide an applicable treatment if the transaction fails.
The Speculative Ticketing Loophole
SeatGeek and Vivid’s personal phrases acknowledge speculative ticketing and outline it as promoting tickets the vendor doesn’t possess or doesn’t have the fitting to obtain in a “materially constant” type. However these phrases depart room for substantial ambiguity.
A reseller might declare it expects to acquire the ticket later. A reseller might argue it has a future “proper to obtain” tickets from one other supply. And the phrase “materially constant” leaves room for substitution—totally different rows, sections, or supply situations—after the actual fact. As an alternative of a bright-line prohibition, the definition permits listings that will symbolize contingent guarantees slightly than precise stock.
That ambiguity permits platforms to say they prohibit speculative ticketing whereas nonetheless internet hosting listings that will depend upon the vendor buying the ticket later to cowl their wager, all based mostly on the backup of a purchaser assure imposed by the reseller market.

The Platform Incentive Drawback
There’s one more reason refund ensures aren’t an satisfactory answer: the platforms themselves profit from the transaction construction. Resale marketplaces similar to SeatGeek usually gather a service payment from the customer, a fee from the vendor, or each. The platform due to this fact earns income when the transaction happens, not when the ticket is finally delivered.
Which means the financial incentive of the platform is aligned with maximizing listings and transactions—even when the underlying stock is unsure. Stopping speculative listings on the entrance finish would cut back the amount of transactions {the marketplace} can host. Managing failures after the actual fact by way of refund ensures permits {the marketplace} to protect that quantity whereas presenting the looks of shopper safety.
That is exactly why the second of availability issues.
When the Lobbyists Testify
There’s one remaining wrinkle within the speculative ticketing story.
When the secondary ticketing trade seems earlier than Congress, its representatives continuously inform lawmakers that speculative ticketing is already prohibited on their platforms. Throughout a January 28 U.S. Senate listening to on ticketing practices, Senator Ben Ray Luján pressed reseller consultant Brian Berry on whether or not followers are assured to obtain the tickets they buy. The change turned revealing:
Rep. Luján: “Do all of your members assure that while you purchase the ticket you’ll get in?”
Mr. Berry: “All assure refund safety or comparable—”
Rep. Luján: “That’s not what I’m asking. Do all of your members assure while you purchase the ticket you’ll get in?”
Rep. Luján: “The reply isn’t any. We are able to simply say it.”
The platforms usually reply to criticism of speculative ticketing by pointing to their phrases of service, which say the apply is prohibited. However because the platform guidelines examined above display, the prohibition usually comes with an extended record of {qualifications}:
• speculative tickets could also be listed if they’re “allotted” to the vendor
• speculative tickets could also be listed if the vendor has a future “proper to obtain” them
• particular “pre-approved sellers” might record speculative tickets they don’t possess
• speculative ticket supply might happen simply earlier than the occasion
• and if the speculative ticket by no means materializes, the platform might supply a refund, credit score, or substitute seat.
In different phrases, speculative ticketing is concurrently prohibited in idea and structured into {the marketplace} in apply. Presumably Mr. Berry has boned up on these phrases which is why he says issues like:
“Partially, because of this Committee’s years of management, The Home of Representatives handed the overwhelmingly bipartisan TICKET Act to deal with refund safety, misleading web sites, and speculative ticket provides. We urge the Committee to push the Senate to ship the TICKET Act to the President’s desk.” Cease me earlier than I speculate once more.
And this traditional: “[D]eceptive web sites that fake to be the venue or workforce, or undisclosed speculative ticket provides, hurt everybody and ought to be banned.”
So we go from “pushing” the TICKET Act (because it’s already handed the Home) again to parsing phrases on condemning “undisclosed speculative ticket provides”, no matter “undisclosed” means. These folks simply can not get out of their very own approach, however they’re laughing all the way in which to the financial institution.
What if they simply did what they need you to consider is their objective—cease promoting spec tickets. They may try this this afternoon, however they don’t. That might be a monumentally necessary accomplishment.
That contradiction explains why laws like California’s AB 1349 issues as does the FTC’s rule and enforcement..
The TICKETS Act doesn’t depend on obscure ensures or discretionary enforcement. It merely applies the rule most customers assume already exists:
No stock, no itemizing.
And when the ticket really exists in the intervening time it’s provided on the market, the complete speculative construction collapses.
If a ticket is represented as out there, it ought to really exist at that second. In different phrases: No stock, no itemizing.







